Sunday, April 25, 2010

Emissions reduction on the national level

At the beginning of April, the federal government announced new regulations for fuel economy. According to a report in The New York Times, the EPA and Transportation Department increased the fuel mileage for new cars to 35.5 mpg by 2016. "The rules are expected to cut emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases about 30 percent from 2012 to 2016," according to the article, and the rules could also save the average driver $3,000 over the vehicle's lifetime.

Getting the standard increase was a battle that started in the 1970s. However, given the state of the auto industry and the push for greener autos in general, the move should not come as a huge surprise. In fact, automakers may welcome the idea because it matches national fuel economy to the 2004 California fuel restrictions, meaning they won't have to market cars in one state but not another because of differing standards. It will cost the industry an estimated $52 billion, but will save $240 billion in reduced pollution, oil imports, and gas prices, the Times reported.

The fact that the fuel standards fight lasted so long is no surprise, given U.S. reluctance to nationwide sustainability policies. "The US federal government has been very reluctant to develop policy related to many other dimensions of sustainable development, including land use, energy consumption, resource use, greenhouse gas emissions, equity (apart from civil rights), or urban growth management" (Wheeler, 2004, 121). However, it seems appropriate that issues dealing with greenhouse gas emissions be handled on the national level. If states or even smaller governments set their own emissions standards, auto manufacturers would spend significant amounts of money just trying to determine a localities regulation. Additionally, like most pollution, emissions do not just affect one city or one state. They spread. Issues such as clean water and endangered species are also handled at the national level, partly because they are concerns that are not deterred by artificial boundaries.

However, in the past, states have acted to regulate auto emissions. As mentioned above, new rules meet California standards that passed six years ago. States and cities filed suit against the Bush administration in order to be permitted to regulate greenhouse gases. Wheeler argues that states "offer smaller and more manageable political arena in which to bring about change" (ibid, 125), and can also push the national government to adopt more stringent policies in the long run.

In the case of California, it is the poster child for regulations stronger than the federal government. Air pollution issues in the state are a driving force. The state is already working on new regulations to start in 2017 that will be stricter than the national 35.5 mpg rule, according the Times article. Is this fair? Should states continue to be able to create a patchwork of regulations? Yes. While such regulations may be a headache for automakers, it is important that states retain some modicum of control that allows them the option to improve the health of the state by more strict regulation. Also, state laws can act as incentives for the national government to continue to update its own regulations.

The state laws should only enhance, not reduce, national environmental laws, including fuel economy standards. There should not be a race for the bottom. But states with automobile-driven societies, like in Los Angeles and in Phoenix, have a more vested interest in reducing greenhouse gas emissions from automobiles than less populated or less spread out areas.

Saturday, April 24, 2010

Striking a chord -- visually.

A friend sent me a link to Green Patriot Posters, a poster campaign to inform citizens about climate change. It is basing its campaign on the propaganda posters from World War II. The campaign was produced by The Canary Project, which "produces visual media, events, and artwork that build public understanding of human-induced climate change and energize commitment to solutions," according to its Web site.

Check out the energy rendition of Munch's "The Scream" painting: Green Patriot Posters.

Since I currently pay the bills as a graphic artist, I find this idea compelling. Visual reinforcement is a great way to reach out to people. What do you think?

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Some startling comparisons

The New York Times magazine published an article by economist Paul Krugman last week titled "Building a Green Economy." In actuality, the article is far broader in scope than the title suggests, looking at basic economics of the pollution problem, analyzing the market-based incentives of cap and trade, political backlash, and, lastly, consequences for not taking action. If anyone picked up a cap-and-trade bill for their final, this is a great illustration of the mix of political values that shape the debate, as well as an illustration of policy design.

The article does a nice job articulating issues with negative externalities and questions the logic of those that say our economy could not adjust to a cap-and-trade system on emissions (when we've done so successfully in the past), but what really struck me were the comparisons of what the change in temperature really meant. A 9 degree difference in temperature, which is the predicted average spike of the Earth's temperature over the next 100 years, is equivalent to the difference in average temperature between New York and Mississippi. The pace of the warming was also highlighted because the Earth hasn't seen such a fast warming in 55 million years, when the planet warmed 11 degrees in 20,000 years. What caused the Earth to warm so quickly in that period? A sudden increase in carbon and methane in the atmosphere.

Saturday, April 10, 2010

Dangers of draining aquifers

Mexico City is an example of what happens when you don't manage your water. The city is sinking -- and has been for a long time. It's an issue we know in Arizona as well, where water pumping can cause subsidence and fissures. However, the problem in Mexico's capital is more acute. The Arizona Republic reported Friday that the city's sinking issue is getting worse fast. Parts of the city are sinking by as much as 8 inches per year. The growing water demand because of a population booms, as well as a poor location for a city in general, are the culprits. Crews are working to shore up the cities buildings. Sadly, the experts note that all they can do is work to stop the city from sinking because they can not turn back the clock. In Arizona, there are water laws to prevent such catastrophes, although there are still problems.

When I visited Mexico City in 2001, we went down to the plaza where all the government buildings are located. The site is built on top of Tenochtitlan, the Aztec capital. The cathedral on the main square, built by the Spanish, is beautiful. And crooked. When we walked inside, my friend's cousins explained the the heavy materials used by the Spanish contributed to the cathedral's problems. Crews were working on it nine years ago and continue to do so today.

Assignment 6

As Cohen notes, environmental issues are becoming increasingly complex. He discusses in depth the Superfund and toxic waste in Chapter 5, which is directly related to my final on legislative efforts to reinstate the polluter pays act to help cover the costs of toxic-waste cleanup. "Toxic waste is fully multidimensional," he writes, meaning it includes all the different frameworks, including values, politics, policy design, science and technology, and management.

1) Values framework
The Superfund, also known as CERCLA, is a mash of strongly held and somewhat contradictory values. Americans value freedom and private property, a value called into question by pollution in general, but also specifically toxic waste. Toxic waste cannot be contained within one lot, meaning that what I dump in my yard could affect my neighbor, and his neighbor, and so on down the line depending on what carries the toxin. "What we consider discrete 'pieces' of property are, in fact, interdependent components of ecological systems" (Pg. 83). Pollution knows no bounds and challenges Americans faith in someone's ability to do what they want on their property. Related to the idea of private property is the anti-regulation argument. Government should not meddle in private or business affairs. However, without incentives, there is no reason for a business to not pollute because it may be cheaper for the company. No business is going to self-regulate at a detriment to its bottom line (assuming that it would be a detriment, of course, which isn't necessarily true).

Both of these values exist in the "polluter pays" debate. Passage of a polluter pays bill would reinstate the tax on petroleum and chemical companies that expired in 1995. Ultimately, its a regulation that costs companies money, and those costs could be passed on to the consumers in the form of higher cost of goods. Do Americans value the environment enough to pay the offsetting price increase? Maybe not. The anti-tax atmosphere is pervasive and the perceived improvement in toxic waste management create fewer lobbying groups with the zeal of those affected by the Love Canal. However, new discoveries on par with past toxic waste discoveries could awaken the sleeping giant to the extent that protection of public health, not the value of property and low taxes, dominated the debate and increased popularity for a polluter pays tax.

2) Political framework
Intertwined with the values on Superfund and the polluter pays tax are the politics of the issue. Yes, there are issues with anti-government, but also issues with where the pollution exists -- i.e. is there significant pollution in a legislator's district. Because toxic waste is generally caused by a local source, "addressing toxic waste is a matter of serving one's constituency, and elected representatives ignore such issues at their own peril" (Pg. 87). However, it may be possible for representatives and senators to ignore toxic waste and the current polluter pays issue if their constituents are not overly worried about its effects. The political ramifications of environmental policies "lie dormant" unless there is serious cause for public concern (Pg. 23).

Despite the anti-tax sentiment, there is a question about who pays for a clean up, and the
answer is certainly political.
The Polluter Pay's Act is an excise tax on petroleum and chemical
companies. The intent of collected funds is to put the money toward "orphan sites," clean ups where the government was unable to locate a liable party. Since the excise tax phased out in 1995, the money has to come from somewhere else. Funding for these sites now comes out of the general fund, or in other words, the American public's tax dollars. In April last year, The New York Times reported that the federal government spent $600 million worth of stimulus funds for toxic waste clean up. “Ultimately, however, it should be polluters that pay for these cleanups, not taxpayers, which is why we will work to restore the ‘polluter pays’ principle," said Sen. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J., the Polluter Pay's sponsor.

3) Science and technology
The Superfund is greatly affected by advancements in science and technology because new methods and machines could help the government clean up sites at a more efficient rate. However, the link between science and technology and the Polluter Pays Act is less important than the link to values or politics. If technology improves, the Polluter Pays Act could be less vital to funding the program because, at least in theory, over time toxic waste cleanup would be less expensive. It seems, however, that such a reality is a long way off. Despite three decades cleaning up our past waste, "we still lack an adequate command of the science and engineering of toxic waste cleanup" (Cohen, 93).

4) Policy design framework
Clearly, it takes money to be able to do a toxic waste cleanup. Past government efforts show the activity comes with a high price tag. However, given the values and political reality, not taking action is not a long-term option. An excise tax on petroleum and chemical companies is a punitive tax for the industries' long history of polluting. But some toxic sites across the country, especially orphan sites, were caused by small businesses, not large industries. The tax does not provide any incentive for companies to not pollute. You could argue there is an incentive to stop any polluting activities now because you may have to pay for them later through these taxes, but since it is unlikely that the government will collect enough funds during the set time frame of this tax, the government could reinstate the tax again -- even if companies alter their behavior. It may be beneficial to include companion legislation that provides incentives for either donating to toxic cleanups or improving waste disposal technologies to encourage a change in behavior.

5) Management framework
We know the organizational capacity exists to collect a polluter pays tax since we did so until 1995. The more pertinent issue is the capacity to clean up sites efficiently so as not to waste the money the government collects. Our ability to clean up waste is better than 30 years ago, but it still remains a costly endeavor. A reasonable question to ask, then, is can this tax be put toward improving the cost factor? When Cohen writes about climate change as a management concern, he suggests that part of the issue it to invent new technologies that can assist in the problem. The same is true for toxic waste cleanup. Some money collected from the excise tax could go toward developing improved technology for cleaning soil and siphoning waste, as opposed to strictly for cleanup purposes. If successful, the measure could save significant amounts of money in the long term as we continue to deal with waste cleanup in the United States and abroad.


Sunday, April 4, 2010

Can it be done?

Many climate initiatives seem to take a long time. I am constantly frustrated by the idea that we should make significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. 2050? I'll be nearing 70.

This week, I watched a trailer for the movie "The Fourth Revolution -- Energy Autonomy" by German filmmaker Carl Fechner. The goal of the documentary is to spread information about renewable energy sources -- sun, wind, and geothermal -- in order to create a worldwide push for use of these types of energy. And the overarching goal is ambitious. The team wants to achieve all energy from renewable sources within 30 years. So not just cuts by 2050 but all energy renewable by 2040. Sounds aggressive (and probably expensive). The group's belief is that by showing the world its documentary, change will come because people will demand it.

What do you think? Is it an attainable goal? Check out the trailer and decide for yourself.

Thursday, April 1, 2010

Irony in climate legislation

Since we all follow environmental news for this class, I am guessing everyone saw the news about President Obama opening up some offshore drilling as a more comprehensive plan to fight off our dependence on foreign oil and reduce climate-change effects. Obama said the decisions is "part of a broader strategy that will move us from an economy that runs on fossil fuels and foreign oil to one that relies more on homegrown fuels and clean energy," according to The New York Times. Does that logic seem twisted to anyone else?

Clearly, this is a political issue. The Times article demonstrates well the reasoning behind the decisions -- to reach across the aisle for more Republican support for a climate-change bill -- and even the political implications of where the administration wants to open drilling. For example, they avoided Maine and part of Florida in order to appease some swing votes.

But here's what gets me. I presume that offshore drilling is not cheap, although I don't have a figure. But we also have only guesses about how much oil is actually down there. High estimates for the Atlantic and part of the Gulf of Mexico estimate 4 billion barrels of oil. There is also natural gas reserves, but let's focus on the oil. 4 billion barrels -- that sounds like a lot of oil. But not for the U.S. The World Fact Book estimates that the United States uses 19.5 billion barrels a day. Multiplied by 365 days per year, that is more than 7 billion barrels annually.

I have two main fears associated with this announcement. 1) People will think this is a solution for rising gas prices, and it isn't. If there are 4 billion barrels, extraction will be spread out over many years, leading to little impact on gas prices. 2) It continues U.S. reliance on oil. Instead of investing in new energy technologies, companies will focus on offshore drilling, and if they don't find enough or as much oil as expected, they will push for new areas to be opened to offshore rigs.

Note: I ignored the natural gas claims. I don't have a comparison for how much they say is available through offshore drilling. If anyone has more information, please share it!

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Deforestation report

Since we just finished our homework that asked what we thought about countries' rights to deforestation, I was amused when I came across a report of a U.N. report that shows deforestation is slowing. An article on BBC reported that deforestation slowed from 16 million hectares per year in the 1990s to 13 million hectares per year in the past 10 years. Tree planting is also up, so the net loss per year was 5.2 hectares per year in the 2000s, as opposed to 8.3 the previous decade. The report attributed the change to tree-planting efforts in Asia and efforts by Brazil and Indonesia to slow loss of trees. There is also evidence that suggests some huge losses came from Australia, not because of logging but because of drought. the worst losses remain in Africa and South America.

According to a graph in the report's key findings, China had the largest net gain in trees in the world.

Sunday, March 28, 2010

By any other name

Around the time we were writing our Obama editorial assignment, signs of the cap and trade demise were already widely discussed in the news. A New York Times article attempts to trace its demise. Its complexity, the recession and fallout on Wall Street, and European permit price fluctuations are all considered contributors to the policy falling out of favor.

However, the article also mentions Cantwell and Collins' more simplified version called "cap and dividend" that would auction off permits instead of just giving them away. Money from the auctions would be returned to taxpayers to cover higher product and energy costs. Is cap and dividend dead too, or is it just cap and trade? This isn't clear to me. It seems like the same thing, albeit with a different name and more simplified language. (Media reports always report that the cap and dividend legislation is less than 40 pages long.) The bill is also notable because the senators belong to opposite parties, which seems almost unheard of in the partisan atmosphere gripping Washington and the rest of the country.

I'm absolutely baffled why we are still talking about cap and trade's death while touting its kid sister cap and dividend. Any ideas?

Legislative inaction: H.R. 564

H.R. 564, also known as the Superfund Reinvestment Act of 2009, was introduced to the current Congress and referred to the Committee on Ways and Means in January 2009. The Superfund program, also known as CERCLA, was passed in 1980 to clean up hazardous waste sites. Two other bills on the same topic, H.R. 832 and S. 3125, are also circulating. S. 3125 is the most recent incarnation, so I will consider it here. It was referred to the Committee on Finance on March 16 of this year.

Conversely known as the Polluter Pays Act, the bill reinstates the corporate environmental income tax until January 2019 to help pay for Superfund cleanups. The purpose behind the legislation is to take the burden of the cost of pollution clean up off the public. The tax was in place until 1995, when Congress failed to renew it. It taxed oil and chemical companies to help pay for clean up of sites without a liable party, either because the original polluter was defunct or in some cases deceased.

Assignment 5: Developing vs. developed nations

Do developing nations have a right to exploit forests?

The simple answer to whether developing nations have a right to exploit their own resources for economic gain is yes. However, reality isn't so much about the right to do something as it is about whether the exploitation is a good policy. Current problems in developed nations, as well as some impoverished nations that failed to capitalize on resources, suggest it is not. Billions and billions of dollars are easily spent annually in the United States to clean up the effects of ignoring the environment while pursuing economic outcomes. This suggests that economic pursuits that ravage the environment also come with a high price tag. However, if pursued simultaneously, nations can avoid costly clean up efforts.

Among the largest hurdles in tackling exploitation is the messenger. Developed nations, such as the United States and the UK, are guilty of sacrificing the environment to get ahead, and the case of rain forests, are some of the largest importers of timber, contributing to degradation in developing nations. Also, one need look no further than Haiti to see the costs of environmental degradation.

What expectations should industrialized nations have for developing nations in the climate change debate?
Different expectations for industrialized vs. developing nations was the major contributor to the U.S. Congress' refusal to sign the Kyoto Protocol. The resolution against ratification suggested that the treaty could result in "serious harm to the United States economy" (Selin & VanDeveer, 2010, 275). It disagreed that industrialized and developing nations should have different targets.

I reject the stance by the Congress. My personal feeling is that the United States knows changes need to be made, and it should lead by example. However, we've let Europe take on that role. EU emissions are now lower than in 1990 and are half that of the United States (Selin & VanDeveer, 2010). While there should be some expectation of non-industrialized nations to work to slow global warming, even in aggressive pursuit of economic gains, it is the already industrialized and high polluting nations that bare responsibility for current emissions. The U.S., for example, still has per capita emissions rates that are four times the amount of China's per capita emissions rates.

In addition, we have the means to change whereas other countries do not. "Developing countries typically have fewer resources to adapt to a changing climate than industrialized countries" (Selin & VanDeveer, 2010, 280). Because of this disparity, developing nations likely will need and expect financial support to meet climate-change reduction goals. If industrialized nations want the actions by these countries to be successful, they will need to contribute monetarily to the efforts.

EnergyStar reality check

A few months ago, I needed to buy a new washing machine. I had a maintenance man look at my old one and he determined that the cost of the part was at least half the cost of a new machine, so I went shopping. I wanted to buy an EnergyStar washing machine, but in the end, decided against it because of the $200 price difference, or in other words, a 50% increase over the machine I purchased.

But maybe I shouldn't feel so guilty. According to a report in The New York Times, the program is fraught with problems. An investigation by the Government Accountability Office found it easy to get approval for an array of fake -- sometimes absurd -- products, such as a gas-powered alarm clock the size of an electric generator. The report suggests that the EnergyStar program is ripe for fraud, partly because it appears there are programs that are reviewed by an automated system. The EPA claims that all final approvals are reviewed by a human, but still vowed to take measures to strengthen the program.

Do you think the EnergyStar sticker is worth the price tag? In general, I suspect that most of the products do qualify, but past research suggests that many products without the sticker are equally as efficient, so the difference in price may be hard to justify. Perhaps the EPA needs to raise the bar for what should be classified as energy efficient.

Saturday, March 13, 2010

Blake, this one is in response to your environmental justice post

Not really sure why I can't post a comment on Blake's blog, but I am tired of trying to figure it out. So here is what I wrote but couldn't get to post:

I do wonder about the balance between economic prosperity and environmental quality. I think a city could get into trouble if it doesn't have enough environmental regulation because how will it attract more residents if the air, ground, and water are polluted? However, finding that sweet spot seems almost impossible. You don't want to drive away industry and the money/jobs it can bring to a municipality, but you also don't want to create a situation where people work in your city, but choose to live in a bedroom suburb because of improved environmental quality. I like how you incorporated Potoski and Prakash into this argument. Clearly, there has to be an incentive for businesses to take on efforts to be more environmentally friendly and sustainable, otherwise they may cover up their activities. Also, government needs to encourage voluntary behavior, which is difficult with strict regulations that are costly to implement for businesses and costly for the government to enforce.

Environmental justice: A Phoenix study

It's hot in Phoenix. But did you know it is hotter in poorer parts of town? Last fall, The Arizona Republic reported on a study by ASU researchers Darren Ruddell and Sharon Harlan that concluded the more affluent areas of the city were actually cooler than parts of the city where residents had lower incomes. In their research, Ruddell and Harlan found that for every $10,000 increase in the income of an area, the temperature of the area drops by one-half degree Fahrenheit. How is this possible?

"Heat discriminates," according to the report. More specifically, the environment of the poor and affluent areas is different enough to cause the disparity. Richer areas have more grass and trees to shade and provide cooling, while poorer areas lack vegetation and are closer to freeways, subjecting the poor, elderly, and children to higher temperatures. "The people who are most vulnerable are also living in the worst conditions. It's a double whammy," Ruddell told the newspaper.

The urban heat island effect is more severe in poor, urban areas, and abates as it moves out to wealthier suburbs. The study was done in 2005, which from personal experience was an incredibly hot summer. The study found that urban neighborhoods were exposed to 22 hours a day of intense heat, whereas residents in highly-landscaped neighborhoods were exposed to just 4 hours of extreme heat. It was the landscaping -- not the location --that caused neighborhoods to be hotter. There was evidence of great temperature variance in neighborhoods separated by only a few blocks.

The situation in the Phoenix metro area is similar to Konisky's (2009) discovery of environmental injustice in government enforcement of environmental laws and codes. He discovered that there was a significant difference in enforcement between richer and poorer counties across the United States for the Clean Air, Clean Water, and Resource Conservation and Recovery acts. For these three laws, Konisky discovered "the effects of poverty on state enforcement are sizeable" (ibid. 114). Consider these findings:

* For every percentage increase in a county's poverty, enforcement of the Clean Air Act dropped 2.3 percent;
* For every $1,000 decrease in median household income, there is a corresponding decrease of 3.3 percent in enforcement of the Clean Air Act; and
* For every percentage increase in a county's poverty, enforcement of the RCRA decreased by more than 5 percent.

Also similar are issues with smart growth, which is supposedly meant to revitalize the core of cities, but too often new urbanism becomes "new suburbanism" (Rast, 2006, 252). In Phoenix, the core, with its poorer residents, is overwhelmingly affected by high temperatures because of the heat island effect, and there is less consideration of cooling properties of landscaping. Also, proximity to heat-attracting freeways and emissions from vehicles clearly place an undue burden on the city's poor. Often, smart-growth initiatives "take place without a strong commitment to improving conditions for low-income, inner-city residents" (ibid. 253). Interestingly, the ASU study also found that middle-class neighborhoods on the fringes were affected by long exposure to high temperatures because of a lack of mature landscaping.

Harlan and Ruddell's study is an unambiguous example of an environmental-justice issue because of the pronounced temperature variation in areas based on income. The Republic article reports that the city is already taking steps to help low-income families weatherize homes. However, as high temperatures rise, more will need to be done. Any plans to revitalize parts of the metro area need to take into consideration how the development will increase or decrease the amount of time residents are exposed to intense heat.

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Cancer in sea lions?

Last night, one of my coworkers was joking about his wife's job. She studies ant socialization at ASU. He said if she were trying to cure cancer, maybe more people would support the study. So I interjected something about "ant cancer," which after some truly strange debate, we decided wasn't real.

But the reality is that other mammals do get cancer. We know that humans get cancer, and many have seen tumors on dogs and cats. How about sea lions? Yes, it is apparently a huge problem for sea lions, according to a New York Times article. Researchers also found cancer in about 18 percent of beluga whales that died in the St. Lawrence River estuary. For the whales, scientists linked the tumors to pollution, which may also be the cause for the sea lions. Unfortunately, it isn't clear what is causing the cancers, and because of a lack of prior knowledge of the issue, researchers can't determine whether there is an increase in sea lion cancer.

We know that the chemicals we put into the ground cause cancer in humans. I never thought before that we may also be causing cancer in sea animals.

Thursday, March 4, 2010

To regulate or legislate?

A West Virginia Democrat is proposing a two-year suspension on potential greenhouse gas regulations by the EPA. According to a BusinessWeek report, Senator Jay Rockefeller wants to put a hold on regulations for refineries and manufacturers to give Congress more time to act on greenhouse-gas legislation. The EPA currently has authority to act to curb greenhouse gas emissions after the Supreme Court ruled that it had the power to do so under the Clean Air Act in Massachusetts v. Environmental Protection Agency. Rockefeller's bill does not block the EPA from regulating fuel-economy standards.

This report follows action on the hill yesterday where Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski grilled EPA head Lisa Jackson about her stance on whether climate-change regulations should come from Congress or the EPA. Jackson has consistently stated that she believes the two are not mutually exclusive and legislation and EPA rules can work together. This appears to be an unacceptable answer for Murkowski. "I don't know that I'm any more clear based on your statement this morning as to whether or not you think it should be the Congress and those of us elected by our constituents and accountable to them to enact and advance climate policy," she said, according an article on the The New York Times web site.

This remark seems disingenuous. Murkowski has tried to overturn the EPA's finding that greenhouse gas emissions pose a danger to human health. If emissions regulations are left for Congress, I fear Republicans will stall throughout this session in hope of gaining control of Congress after the next election. If that happens, it could be a return to Bush-era environmental policies, at least as passed by the Legislature. Perhaps if Congress could move with a bit more speed, the EPA regulations would not seem so threatening to Murkowski. Rockefeller's bill is also misguided. It should not take two years for Congress to get its act together on such a long-standing issue.




Tuesday, March 2, 2010

A piece of Assignment #4

Here is the article I plan to use for the environmental justice assignment: Study: Wealth buys rescue from urban heat island. The study finds that poor neighborhoods' sparse vegetation and proximity to freeways make the neighborhoods retain heat longer than other, more affluent parts of Phoenix. More complete analysis to come...

An "urban village" in Des Moines, Iowa?

Last fall I went home for my sister's wedding. She only really wanted to talk about two things: the wedding (of course) and a plan by the Des Moines City Council to reduce the number of lanes on a major street just south of her house. The street, Ingersoll Avenue, has one of the city's highest crash rates, which has been the main argument for reducing the four-lane road to a three-lane road (one lane each way and a left-hand turn lane in the middle). However, I think the city is missing a huge opportunity to call it what it could be, which is an urban village. Des Moines, like many cities west of the Mississippi River, is not particularly walkable. However, Ingersoll Avenue is lined with small shops and boutiques. I used to get my hair cut there, and it is home to the city's best bakery and breakfast spot, La Mie. The measure will also add bike lanes and additional on-street parking. Those changes to me suggest that the city is looking to make the neighborhood a more pedestrian-friendly zone, like areas of Portland, Chicago, or San Antonio discussed in the book. The street also leads right into downtown, and slower traffic could encourage more people to bike to work because of increased safety. Some of the businesses along the street complained that it will hurt sales because drivers will just move to the next street over. Do they really believe that the people using Ingersoll as a thoroughfare to downtown are stopping to shop? That just seems unlikely to me.

The city is going to repaint the street lanes when the weather improves. Then, after six months of the three-lane system, they are going to review the traffic flow, accidents, and business and public opinions.

New Superfund site

The New York Times reported today that the Gowanus Canal in Brooklyn will now be listed as a Superfund site, despite city objections. The EPA estimates clean up of the canal to cost between $300 and $500 million and that it will take 12 years. Pollutants include pesticides, metals, and "cancer-causing chemicals known as PCBs." The canal's history dates back to the 1860s when it was an industrial zone. Past Times articles on the topic reported that New York City wanted to be in charge of the cleanup. The city estimated costs of $175 million to reduce odors and prevent pollution. The article said nothing about cleaning up past pollution. The city has argued that a Superfund listing would put a stigma on the area, which could stunt development and hurt real-estate prices. However, the EPA and some residents argue that a more extensive, coordinated effort is needed, which the Superfund can provide. The EPA is requesting information from 27 potential contributors to the canal's pollution.

What do you think? Should the EPA have stepped in, or should it have allowed the city to tackle the problem? To me, it seems like the city plan did not adequately resolve the pollution in the Gowanus Canal. In addition, this pollution probably started 150 years ago -- it seems like the city had plenty of time to take action and failed to do so.

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Assignment #3: Questions 13-15

In the final stretch ...

13) Should public managers and environmental planners engage the public when they know that the public's knowledge is limited about the science of an environmental issue? If so, how would you go about doing that? If not, what are the consequences of not including them?

I firmly believe that in this country we have an obligation to make sure the public is as well-informed as possible, even if the public and the media present challenges to doing so. The public's right to know outweighs all concerns about the difficulty of informing and involving them. The public, for one thing, is the key stakeholder. Those living in the area affected by an environmental issue will be the most effected. The Weston article we read suggests that the public is rather defensive and distrustful toward scientific findings, but that is not an excuse to not work to keep them in the loop. In order to deal with the risk society, public involvement should take a more "communicative approach," but review of EIA literature shows that the public involvement is artificial at best (Pg. 319). The case of the unexploded chemical munitions in the Shepherd and Bowler article is an outline of how to approach public involvement: involve the public early, involve them often, and listen to their opinions. Not taking these steps results in greater distrust and likely attempts by members of the public to hold up or destroy a project.

14) Describe 2-3 environmental problems that you think might be particularly conducive to using contingent valuation. Briefly describe why CV would be appropriate in this case.
Damming of Glen Canyon:
It is an old issue, but environmental groups still rail against the loss of what was considered to be a beautiful natural wonder and seek to have Lake Powell drained. For those who don't know, the government dammed Glen Canyon in the 1950s and 1960s, creating Lake Powell. The dam serves as a water reserve for the arid southwest and generates power. David Brower, director of the Sierra Club when Glen Canyon was dammed, was one of the original proponents of the site. He recommended it in place of another site that would have partially flooded a national park. However, after visiting Glen Canyon, he changed his tune. After its damming, he lamented, "Neither you, nor I, nor anyone else knew it well enough to insist that at all costs it should endure." Since then, legislators who favored the dam, including Morris Udall (Democrat) and Barry Goldwater (Republican), have announced regrets over the decision. The cost of draining the lake, as well as other losses of water storage and power generation, could be measured in a contingent valuation of people's willingness to pay for the restoration of the canyon. A broader knowledge of Glen Canyon, its beauty and Native American history may resonate with respondents, and the "warm glow" feeling described in our readings may be lessened by consideration of taxes (especially during a recession) and the existence of a substitute, namely the Grand Canyon.

Protection of the San Pedro River:

The San Pedro River in southwest Arizona is one of few desert riparian areas left in the state and is an internationally renowned location for bird watching. According to The Nature Conservancy, the area around the river is home to "nearly two-thirds of the avian diversity in the U.S." It is a national conservation area. Further protection of this area would be a good candidate for contingent valuation surveys because respondents would be able to value a riparian area in the desert as well as potential bird-watching. Additionally, alternatives exist, especially for bird watching, so the topic fits well into the guidelines created by the NOAA panel. I think the values respondents place on the river would vary widely, with the highest values coming from parts of the southwest as well as the niche group of bird watchers. Lower values may be the result of a lack of knowledge about the area or not valuing riparian areas in the desert. Also, some people just don't care about bird watching and may not be willing to pay more taxes for increased preservation.


15) Describe 2-3 environmental problems that you think would definitely not be conducive to using contingent valuation. Briefly describe why CV would not be appropriate in this case.
Global warming:
I don't think global warming is specific enough for contingent valuation. It could possibly be broken down into specific areas such as clean air, but things like ice shelfs and melting glaciers in Alaska are going to be difficult to assess. Also, given the political explosiveness of the issue, some people won't be willing to pay more for goods or taxes in exchange for a reduction in the Earth's temperature. Also, because so many of the effects are in the future, willingness to pay will be difficult to determine because the respondent won't be present for the benefit.

Destruction of the Sonoran Desert ecosystem:
As Phoenix and Tucson grow, preservation of the Sonoran Desert decreases. The Sonoran Desert is the most "biologically diverse" desert in North America, according to the Bureau of Land Management. I've heard others argue the world. Like global warming, valuing an entire ecosystem is hard work. It is probably nearly impossible for economists and certainly going to be beyond most average citizens. Concepts like biodiversity and ecosystem importance are complicated. Also, given the rarity of the biodiversity in the desert, there are no real "substitutes" as outlined by the NOAA panel.

Friday, February 26, 2010

How we pay for Superfund cleanups

For my final paper, I am researching legislation in Congress called the "polluter pays" bill, which would help fund the Superfund program, which was started under Carter and revised in 1986. The 1986 legislation provided for a "polluter pays" pool, but the law expired after 10 years and has not been reauthorized. An article from last April, Without Superfund Tax, Stimulus Aids Cleanup, shows one of the ways taxpayers are now footing the cost of the cleanup.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

I drank the Kool-Aid

I often find it frustrating that environmental issues, specifically global warming, became so partisan. It baffles me. Isn't everyone for clean air and access to drinkable water? Sure, we may disagree with how aggressive the policies should be, but we don't disagree on the benefit. With global warming, my family tells me I drank the Kool-Aid. Sure, we belong to different political parties, but don't the things that cause global warming also cause decreased air quality? Can't we agree that is a problem?

But finding areas of agreement is harder than it seems. Andrew Revkin, author of the NY Times blog Dot Earth, tries to pinpoint agreement as a starting point for civil conversations about global warming in his post, Back to Basics on Climate and Energy. A reader, who self identifies with the conservative party, calls this out as too simplistic, since people from the same party can't even agree.

"What exists is a whole team, or more accurately a "cloud", formed from social networks, informed only by bloggers and talk show hosts who are willing and eager to engage in a debate to which they refuse to bring any constructive points. At the same time you'll have a number claiming that CO2 isn't a greenhouse gas (which is demonstrably untrue) who then get support or lack of criticism from those who move on to argue that CO2 just isn't the "most important" greenhouse gas. They will get support or lack of criticism from those who then claim that while CO2 IS a greenhouse gas, the climate simply isn't sensitive enough to it for it to matter.

To identify points of agreement with that crowd you'd have to find a point of agreement WITHIN that crowd."

Emphasis added by the reader.

Economic view: Valuing global warming counteractions

The New York Times ran a column over the weekend called A Small Price for a Large Benefit, by Robert H. Frank. Like Chapter 9 in the Vig book, he looks at environmental policy through economic terms. He argues the cost of not trying to slow global warming will be far worse than the cost of taking action now, especially if the estimate that the Earth will warm 9 degrees in the next 100 years is a conservative guess. He considers the cost of carbon, and guesses that a $300 per ton price tag would be sufficient. He then relates this to something Americans care about dearly: the price of gas. It would be a $2.60 gas increase per gallon.

I can already hear people screeching about the recession and the burden a $2.60 gas increase would put on families. Yes, it would. However, Frank is arguing for this increase to be gradual in order to allow people to change their behavior. For a family, this would mean buying a more efficient vehicle. For the auto manufacturing industry, the incentive would exist to build more efficient cars.

What I am struck by as I read the Vig book is the focus on costs. Bush changed laws in order to lessen the cost for factories. In theory, this keeps the price of the good from rising substantially, thereby helping the American public. But the question that I always come back to, no matter how rational it is to keep prices low, is: What is the cost of inaction?

Saturday, February 20, 2010

Upcoming local EIA

There will an an environmental assessment for a proposed copper mine in the Santa Rita Mountains near Tucson. A study paid for by the company found that it would not affect Tucson tourism. I don't know much about the Tucson area. Any thoughts?

Friday, February 19, 2010

Chemical weapons case study

In our class discussion on EIA, most of us noted how important it was to have real, honest public input. The first case study showed the Army sought input about disposal of chemical weapons, but never changed its original plan to blow up the harmful weapons. The issue has resurfaced, and again the Army is still focused on blowing up the weapons. The Associated Press reports in "Beleaguered US to blow up its chemical stockpiles" that the Army still plans to blow up the weapons in Kentucky and Colorado, despite public condemnation. The residents interviewed continue to express disbelief that blowing up the weapons is the best and safest method to eliminate the weapons. "It's so scary - just the unknown. I'm not sure I'd trust what is going to happen when they do this," said resident Elise Melrod.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Climatologist on NY Times Dot Earth blog

Andrew Lacis defends human contributions to global warming in Part One and Part Two of "A Scientist's Defense of Greenhouse Warming." Lacis is a NASA scientist and one-time critic of the IPCC report (according to the Times he said it sounded like it was written by "Greenpeace activists.") The opening sentence of part one: "Human-induced warming of the climate system is established fact." He goes on to discuss how the atmosphere works and concludes:

"To understand climate change, it is necessary to know the radiative forcings that drive the climate system away from its reference equilibrium state. These radiative forcings have been analyzed and evaluated by Hansen et al. (2005, 2007). They include changes in solar irradiance, greenhouse gases, tropospheric aerosols, and volcanic aerosols. Of these forcings, the only non-human-induced forcing that produces warming of the surface temperature is the estimated long-term increase by 0.3 W/m2 of solar irradiance since 1750. Volcanic eruptions are episodic, and can produce strong but temporary cooling. All of the other forcings are directly tied to human activity."

While these articles are both interesting, do not miss the comments section. If you've ever talked to someone that doesn't believe in global warming, you will recognize the arguments. The majority of my immediate family argue against global warming. They say things such as "It's a natural cycle" or "How do we know warmer isn't better" and so on. My sister says that science has not unequivocally proved to her that global warming exists. I suspect no amount of science will ever convince my family, evidenced by responses like these to Lacis' articles:

1) Eva in California: "North America set its all time record for snow cover last week. Clearly this is due to out of control global warming."
2) Rebecca in Alaska: "Lacis sounds Kerry-esque 'I was against CO2, before I voted for CO2.' No wonder the public is confused by climate advise from scientists."
3) Walt in Pennsylvania: "We have no idea if climate change will end up being a 'disaster' for humans. It almost certainly will not be a disaster for Planet Earth."
4) Harry in Washington: "What is the 'correct' temperature of the earth and why? History would tell us the Ice Ages have dominated the earths climate. I don't think there is anyone who believes that an ice age would be good."

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

A timely article in the NY Times

Our homework last week was to compare Obama's environmental policies and practices with past presidents. Interestingly, the New York Times posted an article, "Obama Making Plans to Use Executive Power," on Friday dealing with the exact same topic. The president is planning to use processes Vig talked about, including executive orders and administrative rulemaking, to accomplish some of his goals. "... the Environmental Protection Agency is moving forward with possible regulations on heat-trapping gases blamed for climate change, while a bill to cap such emissions languishes in the Senate." But the article also points out that Obama cannot accomplish some of his initial goals, such as a market-based cap-and-trade system, through administrative methods.

Sunday, February 14, 2010

Op/Ed: Obama and presidential actions in environmental policy

His ascension to the presidency was one of hope, one of change. Candidate Barack Obama strongly believed by uniting this country, we could overcome differences and achieve greatness. It was an addicting idea. After his initial victory in Iowa in the Democratic Caucus, he told us, “We are not a collection of red states and blue states; we are the United States of America.” Some predicted his popularity and majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate would allow Obama to push through major environmental legislation, as opposed to relying on administrative changes and executive orders like some of his predecessors.

However, hoping to overcome partisanship does not make it a reality. Sadly, much like the last Democratic commander-in-chief, the U.S. Congress blocked many of President Obama’s environmental goals. In January 2010, the New York Times noted that proponents of climate-change legislation, including a cap-and-trade agreement to reduce greenhouse gases, were already scaling back plans after the administration’s early defeat on comprehensive health care reform. Additionally, with the election of Scott Brown, the Democrats lost the “super majority” – 60 votes – in the Senate, making it more difficult to pass environmental policy through Congress. The public, overwhelmed by the “great recession,” grew incensed and took out their frustrations on Congressional Democrats in the midterm elections, making Republicans the majority in the Senate. This change in political power made it all but impossible for President Obama and Congressional Democrats to pass legislation on climate change, including emissions reductions and higher fuel economy standards.

We should not consider Obama’s environmental policy of the past four years in a vacuum. Instead, it is instructive to consider what transpired between 1970 and 2000, as well as in the first eight years of the new millennium. The American public can largely thank itself for pushing environmental policies on to the national stage. In 1970, strong public support helped gain the attention of President Richard Nixon, who declared the 1970s the “environmental decade” and passed major legislation in the early part of his presidency, including the National Environmental Policy Act, the Clean Air Act, and the Endangered Species Act. He also created the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Over time, however, new presidents have altered these landmark decisions, as well as others, to fit into their own agendas.

President Ronald Reagan was the first president to have an “avowedly anti-environmental agenda,” according to environmental-policy expert Norman J. Vig, author and professor emeritus at Carleton College. Reagan saw environmental regulation as a threat to economic development, and worked to undermine past legislation and the EPA by revising regulations, appointing anti-environmental directors to key agencies, and slashing the EPA’s budget by one-third in the early 1980s. Reagan’s pro-business agenda was clearly the model for President George W. Bush’s decisions from 2000 to 2008, but interestingly, Reagan’s cutthroat approach to the environment boosted the environmental movement at the time. The effect: Reagan’s vice president and successor, George H.W. Bush, had to take a decidedly more conservationist approach during the early part of his administration. Like Reagan, Bush Sr. did use appointments to place anti-environmentalists in key positions, although some environmentalists lauded a few of his candidates for their qualifications. Despite his early success in getting the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments through Congress, Bush retrenched. His presidency ended with the United States refusing to commit to reducing carbon dioxide emissions in the 1992 Earth Summit.

With the election of Bill Clinton as president, the first Democrat in a dozen years, environmentalists were hopeful of major policy change. Vig notes that Clinton had goals to raise fuel economy standards, promote research, pass a new Clean Water Act, and revise President Carter’s Superfund program. He created a new Office of Environmental Policy and the President’s Council on Sustainable Development. Despite these early successes, Clinton lacked the support Nixon had from the American public. Additionally, Congress overran his agenda, and forced Clinton to take defensive action on behalf of the environment rather than offensive. His battles with Congress led Clinton to use the powers of the president to push through meaningful change, including new and expanded national monuments and protection of 60 million acres of land by an executive order at the 11th hour of his presidency.

Taking cues from Reagan’s pro-business slant and Clinton’s use of administrative powers, the second President Bush used his eight years to boost private interests. Like Reagan, he chose directors whose fortes were more business than environment. Like Clinton, he used executive orders to push his goals, but unlike Clinton, the purpose of Bush’s executive orders was to roll back environmental protections, including provisions of the Clean Air Act. Bush pushed through tax breaks for energy producers, promoted oil and gas exploration, and withdrew the country from the Kyoto Treaty. Bush’s control over environmental policy also “frequently overrode scientific and technical considerations,” Vig wrote in a paper on presidential powers and the environment. He ignored climate-change science, particularly at the beginning of his presidency, and evidence from a Gallup poll showed that during the first five years of President Bush’s administration, Republicans believed less and less that the effects of global warming had already started. Two major environmental-policy debacles marred President Bush’s presidency: mercury emissions and rejection of a waiver for California to regulate greenhouse gases. The former is evidence of the administration’s willingness to alter scientific findings in order to pursue more business-friendly outcomes. The latter, evidence that officials appointed to environmental departments were merely puppets of the administration.

After the election, Obama made some major headway in the environmental policy arena. He ordered the EPA to reconsider the California waiver, and on June 30, 2009, the EPA approved the waiver, paving the way for California and other states to create plans to regulate climate-change gases. In February 2009, he passed an economic stimulus package with $80 billion for renewable energy and mass transit. The Nobel Peace Prize committee recognized Obama for changing the conversation in the United States about climate change.

Obama also achieved success, albeit more limited than originally sought, when Congress passed a “cap-and-dividend” plan sponsored by Senators Maria Cantwell, D-Wash., and Susan Collins, R-Maine, in 2010. The bipartisan bill auctions permits for carbon emissions, which firms purchase. The government then uses the money gained through the auction as a credit for taxpayers to offset increasing costs by firms that purchase the permits. While it remains difficult for Obama to push anything through the Legislature, it is successes like the cap-and-dividend bill that show it is still possible, even without a “super majority” in the Senate. However, if the President continues to be stonewalled by Congress in his second term, he may need to resort to past presidents’ administrative methods to bully through important climate change prevention measures.

The article I used for my Op/Ed piece

Here is the link to the article I used for my op/ed piece: Advocates of Climate Bill Scale Down Their Goals

The New York Times reported on Jan. 26 that proponents of climate-change legislation are scaling back plans because of concerns about passing bills in the Senate. The catalyst of the fear stems from the election of Scott Brown, a Republican, to replace the late Ted Kennedy, a Democrat. The election of a Republican means that the Democrats no longer have a "super majority" in the Senate, and Republicans will be able to successfully use filibusters because Democrats don't have the votes to stop them.

The article reiterates President Obama's commitment to reducing carbon emissions by 17 percent less than 2005 levels by 2020, a pretty dramatic change from President Bush, who largely ignored the concern of global warming and denied California (and other states) a waiver to further reduce greenhouse gases associated with global warming. President Clinton, who set out to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, failed in the end to convince Congress to pass legislation for major reductions. Similar problems appear to be creeping up for Obama. Senator John Kerry all but says that cap-and-trade, a major piece of the legislation to reduce emissions, likely won't pass in 2010.

Overall, I agree with President Obama's stance on methods to reduce pollution and attempts to slow global warming. My concern is that legislation will get bogged down by amendments and pork, so it won't be as effective as it should be. Time will tell, but my suspicion is Obama will need to resort to executive orders, like Clinton and the second Bush, to make significant environmental policy changes.

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Getting started in PAF 546

Hello fellow online classmates! My name is Ayrel. I am 50% finished with my coursework in the MPA program, but I still have another year and a half (three-year plan). I am really excited to take this course because environmental policy is one of my main interests in the public sector. I've focused some of my final papers on environmental topics (cleanup of trash left by migrants, water demand), so it will be great to get a more solid foundation.

I can't wait to see what everyone works on throughout the semester and for the final.